Wednesday, May 18, 2011

VECO: I almost went after this around noon, but decided it was too far from the 20, even though it was very very close. Also, I checked the average true range, which was about $2 and this stock more than exceeded that in them morning. i figured it had exhausted itself but i was going to watch for a break of that consolidation area for a long confirmation.



ADI: This one I actually put an order in and immediately it jumped up. I thought I missed the boat. When it came back down, I decided to not get into it.also, the chart was starting to look a little whippy.




CF: Didn't see this until EOD



GPRO: I wish I had the skills to trade something like this.



SODA: another ripper that I was not about to get involved in.


SPY: i think the spy had a better chart than the q's. wish i would have seen this during the day.


 TCK: Sitting right on the line. I would have like to see a more rounded bottom but I wasn't going to take the chance with that nice doji on the 15.



 TCK executions.

Tuesday, May 17, 2011

i am only upset with my trading in QID. it was momentum based which i am not good at. besides that, i had all the correct stock on my radar. i was early on FE and ERF and never took a shot with MAKO because I like to see a green doji as opposed to red. The only thing i can think on FE and ERF was that they were not close enough to the 20 yet. The Q's were very hard for me to read today. i don't know if was due to lack of focus or all the fakeouts.









Thursday, May 12, 2011

TEVA: almost went after this one





Q: I got to the computer late because I'm up all night looking at charts. Like tonight. I need to stop this. Anyway, I watched as the market flushed out on that hammer around 2pm. The tick was well below 1000. As much as I wanted to find a short setup, I felt that the market had been in the low on that whoosh down. So, I decided not to trade anything. Just watch. My hunch was correct.



Wednesday, May 11, 2011

Although I wasn't profitable today, I am still quite happy. I only traded the stocks I wanted to. The setups I liked. I was very picky. In fact, it was strange, because it seemed that there were a lot of stocks that were setting up how I liked. The q's though, weren't moving anywhere, and then boom, they took off. looking now, i can see SPY had the much nicer chart today.


APOL: only passed on this because of past history. i know this stock can go up or down like a rocket some days, so i was timid. she did work out nicely though.



EBIX: not exactly my smooth chart i am looking for but, when there is big bar down, and then a nice retracement that ends in a doji right on the moving average, i feel quite comfortable. it seemed orderly to me. i sat in the trade for a long time. the thing is, i can't pay attention to the level 2. it makes me nuts. i need to just stick to the graphs. watching the level 2 you want to enter and exit every second.



FE: nice orderly chart. 100% comfortable with taking on trade here. also, nice .10 stop so i could grab a few more shares.


FEIC: i was watching this one as well. i wanted to pull the trigger but the 15 closed below the moving average and that called it off for me.  would have been a great trade but i need to be disciplined and selective.




i have the confidence now to know i can find the correct stocks. it is going to be a matter of patience and timing. the best thing i ever did for myself was to trade from 11am-2pm only. yes there are setups that i miss, but i can't worry about that. today i had a good 1 1/2 of focus from about 11am to 12:30 i was on my game, scrolling through charts and soaking the market in. sitting here all day was too boring. limiting myself to 3 hours is very helpful.

Monday, May 9, 2011



ARE: The arrow are the trades i placed the day earlier. After sitting in the trade for a while, it seemed like it was making a triangle shape (i'll try to put up a chart with the marked triangle). I also noticed the volume on the up moves was increasing, not decreasing like i would like. so, i started getting iffy on it. i finally cut it loose because i couldn't take watching it any longer. it was another long night, the day before, so nap time was calling.


ARE: wedge/triangle/flag that was forming



ARE: the wacked out volume that was happening. rising volume on the upside and downside. too confusing. not a good trade.


 EL: I don't think there was anyone to catch this setup earlier in the day. it only popped onto my radar as it started to make new highs.



PXD: one I was considering but didn't pull the trigger. the market was seeming sluggish



Q: here comparing the difference to the previous days orderly morning, versus today's mess.




SYY: this one i was very close to pulling the trigger. most likely would have turned into a stop out.  my only hesitation was the top out around 11am and the pullback wasn't as smooth. i am trying to decide when i am being to strict and not strict enough. on trader x's blog, they were talking about failed trader x setups. there was a commenter who mentioned, none of the setups are "failed trader x setups" because each trade was missing an element, therefore they were just failed setups. so, i am trying to become more strict in putting on trades. not taking chances. i am trying to find an orderly chart pulling back to the 15min ema, have some narrow range bars, correct volume, and correct stop distance (preferably less than .30) and go for it. i think i could increase my probability right away by being stricter. let us see.


Thursday, May 5, 2011

no trading today. i was playing with my scan settings all through the night and overslept this morning. found a couple nice charts. i was trying to see how they compare to the index. for TRMB it fought most of the day and then had a reality check with the rest of the market. i need to work on finding the stocks as they are making the nice chart as opposed to spotting them end of day. hopefully i get better at this real soon.


TRMB against QQQ


SAM





TRMB getting caught near the end of the day


again these setups happen between 11am and 2pm east coast. 3 hours a day. that is all i need the intense focus for and i will tell you, it's still too much. i find myself having wondering thoughts or getting off track after 20-30 mins. which is better, because it used to be 10 mins or so.
i spent a few hours this evening going over my scanning software and trying to figure out why it pulls up the best stocks near the end of the day. when i peruse my lists in the evening, i see some beautiful setups. i always am wondering why i missed them during the day. anyway, i have to tweak some settings in order to get the scanner (trade ideas) to bring up the stocks in a timely fashion. like below, on the TRMB chart, that originally pulled up around 3:15 on my making new lows ticker (a la dtf). i have it set to show me stocks that have had this alerted 75 times, which in my mind meant that it was down at least .75. but this is not the case, sometimes the stock is moving so fast that each alert could span the range of .08-.10. so, when the 75th alert shows up, it is not down .75 it could be down 1.25 or 1.50 already. the other trick is getting too many stocks. it is a fine line to tweak the settings so i am working on it by adding how much down from the open, current volume, and i would like to get it to work properly to show me stocks which are near the 20sma. that would be ideal. we will see.




NUS: i was nearly ready to short this stock. i called it play by play but this is not what i am trying to focus on. i am trying to only trade stocks that show the pretty form in the other charts.







i went to see william fitzsimmons tonight. he was good but i was more moved by his videos on youtube than the concert in person. i don't know why. i wasn't really feeling all the sorry and sadness he sings about tonight. although it is comical, because he makes fun of himself for only writing depressing songs. i got more enjoyment out of his interactment with the crowd between songs than the songs themselves.

he had a great opening band who also were his backing band as well. slow runner. here is a decent video from a couch. i think it is in mono which stinks, but whatever. that dude's stache may have to go though. it is slightly freaky.