Monday, May 9, 2011
ARE: The arrow are the trades i placed the day earlier. After sitting in the trade for a while, it seemed like it was making a triangle shape (i'll try to put up a chart with the marked triangle). I also noticed the volume on the up moves was increasing, not decreasing like i would like. so, i started getting iffy on it. i finally cut it loose because i couldn't take watching it any longer. it was another long night, the day before, so nap time was calling.
ARE: wedge/triangle/flag that was forming
ARE: the wacked out volume that was happening. rising volume on the upside and downside. too confusing. not a good trade.
EL: I don't think there was anyone to catch this setup earlier in the day. it only popped onto my radar as it started to make new highs.
PXD: one I was considering but didn't pull the trigger. the market was seeming sluggish
Q: here comparing the difference to the previous days orderly morning, versus today's mess.
SYY: this one i was very close to pulling the trigger. most likely would have turned into a stop out. my only hesitation was the top out around 11am and the pullback wasn't as smooth. i am trying to decide when i am being to strict and not strict enough. on trader x's blog, they were talking about failed trader x setups. there was a commenter who mentioned, none of the setups are "failed trader x setups" because each trade was missing an element, therefore they were just failed setups. so, i am trying to become more strict in putting on trades. not taking chances. i am trying to find an orderly chart pulling back to the 15min ema, have some narrow range bars, correct volume, and correct stop distance (preferably less than .30) and go for it. i think i could increase my probability right away by being stricter. let us see.
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